4–5 Jun 2026
University of Geneva
Europe/Zurich timezone

Direct likelihood emulation for efficient cosmological parameter inference

4 Jun 2026, 10:45
15m
Sciences II Auditorium A100 (University of Geneva)

Sciences II Auditorium A100

University of Geneva

Quai Ernest-Ansermet 30

Speaker

Andreas Nygaard (University of Zurich)

Description

Precision cosmology increasingly relies on repeated evaluations of computationally expensive observables, such as Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) anisotropy spectra and large-scale structure statistics, posing a significant bottleneck for parameter inference and model comparison. Emulation techniques have emerged as a powerful solution, enabling fast and accurate interpolation of these observables across parameter space. I will begin by reviewing recent progress in observable emulation, highlighting their performance, limitations, and impact on modern cosmological analyses.
I will then present CLiENT (Cosmological Likelihood Emulator using Neural Networks with TensorFlow), a method that bypasses observable prediction entirely by directly emulating the likelihood function of a dataset given cosmological parameters. This approach provides a flexible and fully differentiable surrogate for the likelihood, enabling efficient gradient-based inference methods.
Using fewer than $\sim 2\times10^4$ training evaluations, the likelihood emulator achieves high fidelity, recovering posterior constraints to within $0.1\sigma$ of the true likelihood and maintaining pointwise accuracy at the level of $\Delta\chi^2\leq 0.5$ across relevant regions of parameter space. I will demonstrate the robustness and versatility of this approach, including applications to extended cosmological models.
These results position likelihood emulation as a powerful and complementary alternative to traditional observable-based approaches, with clear advantages for fast, flexible, and differentiable cosmological inference.

Authors

Andreas Nygaard (University of Zurich) Mr Luca Janken (Aarhus University) Prof. Steen Hannestad (Aarhus University) Mr Thomas Tram (Aarhus University)

Presentation materials